Welcome to the most comprehensive, 100% accurate and totally rad prediction blog on the internet. You will have an opportunity to view my picks over the course of the College Football season -- all of which you can take the bank -- for all Big 12 South teams. I’ll even throw in a couple additional predictions of big time games at no extra charge.
-- MattradamusWell, I’m back for week 2. While my predicted upset didn’t happen, I was very,
very happy to see one upset that I didn’t think would happen...sorry Aggies. Skoal took a big hit over the weekend when all the rednecks hid in shame and weren’t out in the streets spitting and rejoicing all weekend. It made my entire weekend and actually helped me forget the fact that I was barely over .500 with my predictions in the first week of the college football season, which is generally the easiest to predict. The term "parity" has been floating around college athletics for years...so that's my excuse for last week's outrageous picks. Here we go again….
Northwestern State at Baylor (No Line)Baylor, as expected last week, just couldn’t hang with Wake Forest. But there are only about 25 teams in the nation who can. The Demons of Northwestern State come into Waco 1-0 after a victory against Texas A&M-Commerce to open their season.
Why Northwestern St. can win: Unfortunately for NW St., I don’t see them standing a chance in this match up. They have no passing game, a limited rushing attack and were penalized 10 times last week.
Why Baylor can win:You can’t say this too often about Baylor football, but they will have more talent on the field this week than their opponent. The best way to ensure beating a team that is inferior to you is to run a spread offense and throw the ball around the field, and that is what Baylor does. This is where you see the talent gap the most.
Final Prediction and Analysis:Baylor Freshman QB Robert Griffin will have Waco known for more than just its basketball player killings and religious cults in about 3 years, and his era will begin as starting QB this Saturday. The Demons will be “sic’d” and Baylor will run away with this game and put on a show for all 2,124 in attendance.
Northwestern St. 10, Baylor 42Cincinnati at Oklahoma (-21)I wasn’t too far off on my prediction last week, but I think I have to thank mother nature for that. OU probably could have put 100 on the board if the wet fields and storms hadn't slowed them down. Cincy beat up on Western Kentucky last week, and is a legit threat to win the Big East.
Why Cincy can win: The only way you go into Norman and win -- when you aren't a heavyweight -- is to have a Senior leader (Dustin Grutzka), a well balanced offense with the potential to score points (368 passing, 209 rushing and 40 scoring last week) and a turnover-prone defense that will take advantage of mistakes (led the NCAA in turnovers forced last year) and they have all of that.
Why OU can win: They scored on every possession in the first half of their game last week and have superior talent compared to Cincinnati. Bradford ran the no huddle and was nearly flawless, Demarco Murray could be the best RB in the nation and they have two of the best wideouts in the country in Manuel Johnson and Juaquin Iglesias. They can score and they can score in a hurry.
Final Prediction and Analysis:Several Cincy students will make the trip down to Norman and will spend the pregame driving around with the windows down yelling,
“BOOMER” to hear
“SOONER” from the mass of fans -- which they'll then reply to with
“SUCKS”. And unless several more street fights break out involving guns, knives, chains, boa constrictors, chainsaws or Chuck Norris, I can’t see any of the aforementioned Sooner players getting hurt or missing this game for any reason. With that said, I think Cincy will put up a fight for a half but in the end the mighty giant will awaken and win this football game.
Cincinnati 20, Oklahoma 40Houston at Oklahoma St. (-13)Oklahoma State went to Seattle last week and dominated a less than great Washington St team with contributions from the offense, defense and special teams. Houston dominated Southern and comes into the Stillwater hoping to show they can play with the big boys.
Why Houston can win: QB Case Keenum can throw the ball all over the field and will continue to do so all year. Just when you think you have their wideouts covered, Case looks for his TE Mark Hafner who has the size and speed to exploit a matchup against a LB or, at times, a Safety. They will put points on the board, but will it be enough?
Why OSU can win: They had a well balanced offensive effort against Washington State and as long as they continue to stay the course, they will keep all defenses on their heels. Zac Robinson is a very consistent passer and is always a threat to tuck the ball and run. Defensively they shut down a spread offense in Washington State...but can they do it against a team that has been running the system longer and probably has better athletes than WSU? That is the question.
Final Prediction and Analysis:I really think that OSU, with a good effort from their Defense and Special Teams, can play with EVERYONE in the country. Unfortunately for them, I don’t think those units will bring their A, B or even C+ games each and every week. These teams will trade touchdowns and I think it will come down to whose defense can get just a few stops. In the end, because of the better competition they went up against last week (WSU vs Southern), I think OSU pulls out this game and they walk out of the stadium with a very narrow victory over the up-and-coming Houston Cougars.
Houston 38, Oklahoma St. 43Texas at UTEP (UPSET ALERT)Texas burrowed some owls last week in a blowout victory while UTEP went to the Great Northeast and took the bull by the horns...and got gored by the Bulls of Buffalo.
Why Texas can win: They have talent at all positions and are very solid running the football. UTEP gave up 263 yards rushing last week and and weren’t much better with the pass. Colt McCoy will have his options as to whether he wants to pass or run throughout the game. UT’s run defense will shut down the Miners rush offense and force them into throwing the ball into what may be a very opportunistic back 7 this year for the Horns.
Why UTEP can win: The only thing I can think of is that the game is in El Paso and it is their home opener. Good teams struggle out there in the Sun Bowl.
Final Prediction and Analysis:I picked UT to get upset last week, but I’m not that stupid this week. While UTEP may be a more formidable opponent, they don’t have the guns to stay with the Longhorns. I expect a tougher game for UT, but in the end, unless a drunk Cedric Benson is the pilot for the team's flight, I can’t see them not making it to the game. Which means they will cruise. Kind of how Cedric Benson cruises around Austin or on Lake Travis drunker than shit. Speaking of shit, I know a guy who once got so drunk that he…….ah, nevermind. Oh yeah, I was kidding about that UPSET ALERT. Just wanted to outrage certain people.
Texas 37, UTEP 17Texas A&M (-3) at New MexicoTexas A&M suffered one of the more humiliating defeats in the program's history last week to Arkansas State (only loss that is worse, that I can remember, is when they lost to Baylor) while New Mexico got blown out by TCU -- thus giving us the only matchup of 0-1 teams this weekend.
Why A&M can win: They still have some pretty big names on the offensive side of the ball in McGee, Goodson and Lane. Goodson produced last week with two touchdowns and 125 yds rushing, but had a costly fumble in the 4th. McGee did more harm than good, but I see him turning that around this week. Defensively they were strong against the pass last week.
Why New Mexico can win: Going to Albuquerque is like going into El Paso; it is a very tough place to play. The entire state of New Mexico will be there, Indians and all. It will make for a very drunk crowd and lots of horses.
Final Prediction and Analysis:There is no way that A&M loses this game. I don’t say that because they are that good, but because New Mexico, unlike in years past, is simply that bad. This game will be about as much fun as watching your girlfriend get railed by a manatee. I can’t see either team scoring more than two times (something Aggie guys should be used to). For your eyes sake and simply because you could be doing better things like inflicting wounds on your own privates, don’t watch this game or give it a second thought. I’m sorry I had to write about it.
TAMU 10, New Mexico 9Texas Tech (-10) at NevadaTexas Tech is coming off a lackluster win against a D2 school and Nevada just pounded Grambling -- pitting two teams that are both 1-0 and ready to put on a show for all viewers.
Why TTU can win: When it comes to offense and defense they are, simply put, much better. They can spread you out and throw, or hit you with a couple quick draws to keep you off balance. Defensively they only gave up 23 rushing yards in their opening game, which is a good sign considering Nevada will try to cram it down their throat. Their defensive secondary may be scrutinized this year for yardage allowed through the pass game, but that will be more a result of teams having to throw the ball because of the point deficit they face. The defensive secondary that led the Big 12 last year lost a few cogs, but are just as good.
Why Nevada can win: Only three teams had more yards last week than Texas Tech -- Nevada was one of them and they lead the NCAA after one game. They bring a rush offense that isn’t your normal 1 or 2-back set, so it will be something that TTU hasn’t seen or simulated against. While Tech’s rush defense was great last week, they are historically very weak against the run. A good rushing attack can limit the potent Red Raider aerial strike and force some frustration. Tech is also very prone to bad penalties, and when the frustration level increases so do the mental mistakes.
Final Prediction and Analysis:Several years ago, Tech went out to New Mexico and laid an egg against a run dominant team in what is considered to be the Western part of the US. This game worries me (being a Red Raider) because the same COULD happen here. Tech has struggled on the road at times in non-conference games and cannot win this game if they rack up another 190 yards in penalties. This is the game Nevada and their fans have had circled on their schedule since the schedule came out. They have been waiting for this day. Why?
Because they have been shitting their pants for over a year now worrying about how badly they will be blown out by one of the up-and-coming programs in the nation and can’t wait to get it over with!!
It is generally animals that smell fear, but in this case, the tables have turned and the Red Raiders smell the fear that the Wolfpack have, have had, and will continue to have until the 2008-2009 season is over and they don’t have to see the Double T on their schedule anymore. Leach, in a post game press conference, will compare his trip to Reno to “the feeling you have after a colonoscopy, in a way it was fun but I’m glad it is over, YYYARRRRR!!!”
Texas Tech 63, Nevada 35GAME OF THE WEEK:Miami at Florida (-21)Miami and Florida are both coming off very impressive wins to start their seasons. This game will have more future NFL talent on the field than any other game played this season.
Why Miami can win: I’ll be honest, I can’t see Miami having any chance of winning this football game. What I would give them for most games is that they are more athletic, bigger, stronger, faster, etc; but when you go up against the upper echelon of the SEC, this is null and void. What may keep them around is their team speed on defense and the fact that they
are Miami. They won’t be intimidated going into “The Swamp” and with Florida St. no longer on the schedule, this is the game they may look forward to most. Miami has also won the last 6 meetings between the two teams and that could serve as an additional confidence booster. Freshman QB Jacory Harris is a star in the making and could have his “Vince Young Moment” (which, for Vince, came in the Rose Bowl vs. Michigan) and coming out party in this game.
Why Florida can win: They match Miami at all positions in athletic ability, size, strength and speed and on top of that they have the best college football player in the nation in Tim Tebow. The biggest difference between these two teams is that Florida signs players who buy into a system and want to be coached, while Miami simply has guys who want to say they went to “The U” and then get drafted. When talent levels are matched, you gotta go with the guys that are willing to accept coaching and that is what the Gators are willing to do. Playing in the Swamp in a nationally televised game against an instate rival will bring out the best in Gator players and coaches and a win like this will only boost their confidence prior to going into a brutal SEC in the coming weeks.
Final Prediction and Analysis:The only hurricane stopping the Gators will be Hannah if it is powerful enough to get up to Gainesville. Miami’s ability will keep it close for a quarter, but the Gators will run away with this game and turn it into a blowout. Who would have thought Tim Tebow would be able to sit out the 4th quarter against a Miami Hurricane team? I do and it happens Saturday.
Miami 13, Florida 48